Ukraine

[dutchpp]

Re: Ukraine

The ISW Russian offensive campaign assessment, May 30.

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-may-30-2023

Key Takeaways

• Russia claimed that Ukraine conducted a series of drone strikes against Moscow on May 30 as Russia again targeted Ukraine with Iranian-made Shahed drones.
• Russian President Vladimir Putin attempted to downplay the drone attack on Moscow to avoid exposing the limited options he has to retaliate against Ukraine.
• The drone attack on Moscow generated varied responses from the Russian information space.
• The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) is likely attempting to conceal the high Russian losses in Ukraine by artificially inflating Ukrainian casualties in the war.
• EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs Josep Borrell stated that Russia will not enter negotiations while trying to win the war.
• Russian forces conducted limited ground attacks northeast of Kupyansk and northwest of Svatove, and Russian sources claimed that Russian forces conducted a ground attack south of Kreminna.
• The tempo of Russian and Ukrainian offensive operations in the Bakhmut direction remains low as of May 30.
• Russian forces made marginal advances amid continued ground attacks on the Avdiivka-Donetsk City line.
• Russian forces did not conduct any confirmed ground attacks along the southern axis.
• Russian officials are establishing domestic veteran support programs which likely aim to advertise the perks of military service in Russia.
• Russian occupation officials continue to deport Ukrainian children to Russia under the guise of providing pediatric healthcare.

[heimlaga]

Re: Ukraine

BBC writes abut abduction of Ukrainan children in occupied territories.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-65641304

[Andrew Craig-Bennett]

Re: Ukraine

BBC writes abut abduction of Ukrainan children in occupied territories.
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-65641304

A horrible thing to read.

[skuthorp]

Re: Ukraine

I wonder if all this will be swept under the rug again, in the name of political convenience?.

[WX]

Re: Ukraine

[dutchpp]

Re: Ukraine

The ISW Russian offensive campaign assessment, May 31.

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-may-31-2023

Key Takeaways

• The Russian military command has likely ordered Chechen Republic Head Ramzan Kadyrov’s forces to begin offensive operations in Ukraine following the withdrawal of Wagner Group forces from Bakhmut.
• The claimed return of Chechen forces to offensive operations would break Kadyrovites from a nearly yearlong hiatus from participating in high-intensity combat operations.
• The Kremlin may be attempting to reintroduce Kadyrovites as the main offensive force following the culmination of Wagner forces and their withdrawal from the frontlines.
• The Kremlin may also be attempting to sever Kadyrov’s relationship with Wagner financier Yevgeny Prigozhin and re-emphasize federal authority over Chechen forces.
• The official Russian responses to recent attacks against Russia remain likely insufficient to satisfy the Russian ultranationalist information space’s desire for escalation in the war.
• Russian forces conducted ground attacks northwest of Svatove and south of Kreminna.
• Russian forces conducted limited ground attacks around Bakhmut and along the Avdiivka-Donetsk City line.
• Russian forces continue to concentrate in southern Ukraine.
• The Russian State Duma appears to be considering measures to legalize the military recruitment of current or formerly incarcerated Russian men.
• Ukrainian Verkhovna Rada Human Rights Commissioner Dmytro Lyubinets announced that Ukraine has a new avenue to repatriate Ukrainian children abducted to Russia.

[C. Ross]

Re: Ukraine

I can't believe they got to occupied Crimea in the middle of a war zone except through Russia. And I doubt very much that they weren't accompanied by "tour guides" . . . cough . . . minders. So, not surprising they saw youth singing patriotic songs around monuments. Standard operating protocol and were fed the Putin line.

Read the Twitter feed of Rick Sterling, one of the co-authors. They traveled through St Petersburg to Moscow to Crimea. He is not anti-war, he is pro-Putin, pro-Assad, pro-Ortega, pro-Tucker Carlson, pro-Tulsi Gabbard. It’s quite a stew of views.

[Keith Wilson]

Re: Ukraine

Read the Twitter feed of Rick Sterling, one of the co-authors. They traveled through St Petersburg to Moscow to Crimea. He is not anti-war, he is pro-Putin, pro-Assad, pro-Ortega, pro-Tucker Carlson, pro-Tulsi Gabbard. It’s quite a stew of views.

Sounds like quite the guy, But if it's all the same, I'll rely on your summary rather than reading his stuff; I already take pills for my blood pressure, and a spasm of rage at human idiocy won't do it any good.

[dutchpp]

Re: Ukraine

Mr. Rick Sterling is a moron who is supporting this:
kleinkind.jpg
A Ukrainian grandfather is guarding his 9 year old grandchild, she was killed by a Russian missile attack on Kyiv 2 hours ago.

Mr Sterling should be arrested and prosecuted as an accomplice for war crimes against children.

[gypsie]

Re: Ukraine

OMG those poor people.
Russia cannot be allowed to forget the pain they have caused.

[dutchpp]

Re: Ukraine

The ISW Russian offensive campaign assessment, June 1.

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-june-1-2023

Key Takeaways

• Russian forces conducted another series of missile strikes on Ukraine overnight on May 31 to June 1 and during the day on June 1.
• Elements of the all-Russian pro-Ukrainian Russian Volunteer Corps (RDK) and Freedom of Russia Legion (LSR) reportedly conducted another raid into Belgorod Oblast on June 1.
• Russian officials and milbloggers’ responses to the limited raid in Belgorod Oblast are indicative of a continued heightened anxiety within the Russian information space regarding the war in Ukraine.
• Chechen commanders and officials launched a concerted attack on Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin on June 1 in a likely attempt to undermine Prigozhin’s appeal.
• Prigozhin responded to the attacks claiming that he will continue to voice his opinions until Russian MoD officials are punished for their mistakes in planning the invasion of Ukraine
• Chechen attacks on Prigozhin’s character may be a part of the Kremlin’s efforts to discredit and undermine Prigozhin as his forces withdraw from the frontlines.
• Russian forces conducted offensive operations northeast of Kupyansk and northwest of Svatove.
• The tempo of Russian and Ukrainian offensive operations in the Bakhmut direction remains low as of June 1, and Russian forces conducted limited ground attacks along the Avdiivka-Donetsk City line.
• Russian forces did not conduct any confirmed ground attacks along the southern axis.
• The Russian State Duma rejected a draft law that would have granted mobilization exemptions to candidates and doctors of the science.
• Russian occupation authorities announced that regional elections in occupied territories will take place on September 10.
• Ukrainian Prosecutor General Andriy Kostin announced on May 31 that Ukraine is investigating over 2,900 crimes against children committed by Russian forces.

[sandtown]

Re: Ukraine

Read the Twitter feed of Rick Sterling, one of the co-authors. They traveled through St Petersburg to Moscow to Crimea. He is not anti-war, he is pro-Putin, pro-Assad, pro-Ortega, pro-Tucker Carlson, pro-Tulsi Gabbard. It’s quite a stew of views.

Oh yeah, knock the stuffing out of that messenger !!

And don't forget that other guy too !! . . . you know, that commie prof that De Satin has lined up !!!

Kovalik ?? Yeah, that Univ of Pitt law school guy . . . .

Total evilosity !!

[Nicholas Carey]

Mr. Rick Sterling is a moron who is supporting this:
[ATTACH=CONFIG]137756[/ATTACH]
A Ukrainian grandfather is guarding his 9 year old grandchild, she was killed by a Russian missile attack on Kyiv 2 hours ago.

Mr Sterling should be arrested and prosecuted as an accomplice for war crimes against children.

That is a powerful photo.

[skuthorp]

Re: Ukraine

I would have thought that Kadyrov and Wagner had common interests in this? Namely weakening Putins hold? Putin's interests are the reduction of both their forces lest they become a threat.

Any substance to this?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tKmGiJKt6bw

[Gerarddm]

Re: Ukraine

General Hans von Seeckt, the godfather of Wehrmacht WWII doctrine, said this in his 1928 book Thoughts of a Soldier, as cited by BH Liddell Hart in his book The German Generals Speak:

Hart: He gave the Reichswehr a gospel of mobility, based on the view that a quick-moving, quick-hitting army of picked troops could, under modern conditions, run rings around an old-fashioned mass army.

Seeckt: " Every action ought to be based on surprise. Without surprise it would be difficult to obtain great results ".

Hart: He questioned the value of the huge conscript armies of the past, suggesting that the effort and sacrifice was disproportionate to their effect, and merely led to a slow-griding war of exhaustion. Seeckt: " Mass become immobile; it cannot maneuver and therefore cannot win victories, it can only crush by sheer weight. A conscript mass, whose training has been brief and superficial, is cannon fodder in the worst sense of the word, if pitted against a small number of practised technicians on the other side ".

Things that make you go hmmmm, as Arsenio Hall used to say.