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Thread: Ohio Special Election Results

  1. #1
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    Default Ohio Special Election Results

    Ohio Special Election Results: 12th Congressional District

    By THE NEW YORK TIMES

    Troy Balderson leads by 0.9 percentage points, or 1,754 votes, over Danny O’Connor with 100 percent of precincts fully reporting.
    CANDIDATE PARTY VOTES PCT.
    Troy Balderson Republican 101,574 50.2%
    Danny O’Connor Democrat 99,820 49.3
    Joe Manchik Green 1,127 0.6
    202,521 votes, 100% reporting (591 of 591 precincts)


    Voters in Ohio’s 12th District are choosing a replacement for Representative Pat Tiberi, a Republican who resigned to work for a business group. The candidates are Troy Balderson, a Republican endorsed last week by Mr. Trump, and Danny O’Connor, a Democrat.
    The race is still too close to call, with 3,435 provisional ballots that have yet to be counted. Ohio law calls for an automatic recount if the two candidates are ultimately separated by less than half a percentage point.

    — MAGGIE ASTOR







    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...strict-12.html

    A close run result.
    Enjoy a good rum on the rocks at sunset.

  2. #2
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    Default Re: Ohio Special Election Results

    And they get to do it again, in 3 months.
    There's a lot of things they didn't tell me when I signed on with this outfit....

  3. #3
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    Default Re: Ohio Special Election Results

    And in a district that trump won by 11 points.

  4. #4
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    Default Re: Ohio Special Election Results

    In past years Ohio District 12 has been a slam-dunk for the Republican candidate. The GOP had best be worried.
    War is peace.
    Freedom is slavery.
    Ignorance is strength.
    Trump is doing beautifully.





  5. #5
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    Default Re: Ohio Special Election Results

    No, no.... I think it best that they stay relaxed, and assume everything will turn out alright. Kinda like the Dems did, last election?
    There's a lot of things they didn't tell me when I signed on with this outfit....

  6. #6
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    Default Re: Ohio Special Election Results

    https://www.cleveland.com/open/index...sional_di.html

    Extrapolating results from a single election isn't a scientific practice, but the 12th District is exactly the kind of place Democrats need to make gains if they want any chance of picking up seats in Ohio and flipping the House in November. Suburban women - who often poll as having a strong dislike of President Donald Trump - are the key converts.
    .
    O'Connor's razor-thin loss was a relatively good sign. O'Connor had no reason to be as competitive as he did in a district that former Republican U.S. Rep. Pat Tiberi held since 2000 and hasn't elected a Democrat since 1982. Trump won the district by 11 percentage points in 2016.

    However, O'Connor made inroads in some of the more suburban areas like Delaware County - just not enough to win the district.

    O'Connor's results in the 12th District, coupled with positive outcomes in other special elections around the country, show the environment is ripe for Democrats, even in Ohio where many thought the "blue wave" might not reach, Kondik said.

    "A lot of us who look at these races from a national perspective, we're looking for continuing trends or changing trends," he said. "This is a continuing trend in what we've seen in special elections so far."

    David Niven, political science professor at the University of Cincinnati, said around Ohio, that bodes well for Democratic candidates.

  7. #7
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    Default Re: Ohio Special Election Results

    http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2018...e-elusive.html

    Consider this comment from Rep. Ben Ray Lujan, D-N.M., chairman of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC): “That this race is too close to call speaks volumes about Danny O’Connor’s strength and Republicans’ expensive, failed playbook. With twice as many registered Republicans as Democrats, this district should have been a slam dunk for the GOP, and the fact that we are still counting ballots is an ominous sign for their prospects in November.”

  8. #8
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    Default Re: Ohio Special Election Results

    It's almost insane to hold a special election this close to the coming election.
    How do we form a mutiny? Our new captain is navigating poorly.

  9. #9
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    Default Re: Ohio Special Election Results

    There are about thirtyfour hundred provisional ballots to count. The race if not won or lost.

  10. #10
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    Default Re: Ohio Special Election Results

    Quote Originally Posted by LeeG View Post
    Extrapolating results from a single election isn't a scientific practice,

    David Niven, political science professor at the University of Cincinnati, said around Ohio, that bodes well for Democratic candidates.
    NPR extrapolated from that result. Made some prediction about areas that Trump ad won bu slimmer margins and the upcoming elections. The prediction should make many here happy despite the lack of scientific validity.
    Life is complex.

  11. #11
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    Default Re: Ohio Special Election Results

    Quote Originally Posted by Too Little Time View Post
    NPR extrapolated from that result. Made some prediction about areas that Trump ad won bu slimmer margins and the upcoming elections. The prediction should make many here happy despite the lack of scientific validity.
    “should”

  12. #12
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    Default Re: Ohio Special Election Results

    David G
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    "It was a Sunday morning and Goddard gave thanks that there were still places where one could worship in temples not made by human hands." -- L. F. Herreshoff (The Compleat Cruiser)

  13. #13
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    Default Re: Ohio Special Election Results


    Hope the voyage is a long one.
    May there be many a summer morning when,
    with what pleasure, what joy,
    you come into harbors seen for the first time...

    Ithaka, by Cavafy
    (Keeley - Sherrard translation)

  14. #14
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    Default Re: Ohio Special Election Results

    While I realize you do have a clue about software, the issue with computerized voting machines isn't really about the reliability of the software (it's pretty simple) - but that many machines 1) can easily be hacked & 2) provide no hard copy backup for recounting or checking.
    "If it ain't broke, you're not trying." - Red Green

  15. #15
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    Default Re: Ohio Special Election Results

    yesterday on Fox (it's on in the breakroom at work, and nobody can change it) they were talking about this special election and how it proves that Republicans need to get on board with Trump if they want to win in November,
    "If you think you are too small to make a difference, try sleeping with a mosquito"

    -Dalai Lama

  16. #16
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    Default Re: Ohio Special Election Results

    Quote Originally Posted by Garret View Post
    While I realize you do have a clue about software, the issue with computerized voting machines isn't really about the reliability of the software (it's pretty simple) - but that many machines 1) can easily be hacked & 2) provide no hard copy backup for recounting or checking.
    .....like Georgia:

    With worn-out clichés about the dead voting, Chicago used to be the poster child for voter fraud. But if any state is a poster child for terrible election practices, it is surely Georgia. Bold claims demand bold evidence, and unfortunately there's plenty; on Monday, McClatchy reported a string of irregularities from the state's primary election in May, including one precinct with a 243-percent turnout.

    McClatchy's data comes from a federal lawsuit filed against the state. In addition to the problem in Habersham County's Mud Creek precinct, where it appeared that 276 registered voters managed to cast 670 ballots, the piece describes numerous other issues with both voter registration and electronic voting machines. (In fact it was later corrected to show 3,704 registered voters in the precinct.)

    Multiple sworn statements from voters describe how they turned up at their polling stations only to be turned away or directed to other precincts. Even more statements allege incorrect ballots, frozen voting machines, and other issues.

    We've looked at poor voting security in the state previously. In 2017, a report by a Georgian security researcher revealed a shocking lack of security throughout the state's voting system. Later that year, we discovered that servers that were thought to be key evidence for the same federal lawsuit that has led to this week's news were wiped, then repeatedly degaussed.

    Georgia is one of four states in the US that continues to use voting machines with no ability to provide voters a paper record so that they can verify the machine counted their vote correctly.

    There is a ray of light, however. In January a bipartisan group of senators introduced a bill to ban insecure paperless voting machines. Additionally, the legislation would implement many reforms that the security community has been calling for. While it is still far from being passed into law, the Senate Rules and Administration Committee recently held two hearings to collect testimony.

    Georgia defends voting system despite 243-percent turnout in one precinct (LINK)
    #include [ std-disclaimer ]

    Hope the voyage is a long one.
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    with what pleasure, what joy,
    you come into harbors seen for the first time...

    Ithaka, by Cavafy
    (Keeley - Sherrard translation)

  17. #17
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    Default Re: Ohio Special Election Results

    Looks like the Democrat just found 500 ballots for him in those not counted earlier. The race is getting even closer. You may want to hold of on your tweets for a few days Trump.

  18. #18
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    Default Re: Ohio Special Election Results

    More than a few days. The provisional, and absentee, ballots are going to get counted. Results won't be certified until around the 23rd, and that probably won't be final if it's within .5% which will require a recount.

    Between the late election, and congressional recess scheduling, whoever wins is only going to be there about 2 weeks. Then they're going to be in another election. I heard O'Connor is already campaigning, regardless of the final results.

  19. #19
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    Default Re: Ohio Special Election Results

    Quote Originally Posted by Art Haberland View Post
    yesterday on Fox (it's on in the breakroom at work, and nobody can change it) they were talking about this special election and how it proves that Republicans need to get on board with Trump if they want to win in November,
    You know they make universal remotes, right?

  20. #20
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    Default Re: Ohio Special Election Results

    Quote Originally Posted by Garret View Post
    While I realize you do have a clue about software, the issue with computerized voting machines isn't really about the reliability of the software (it's pretty simple) - but that many machines 1) can easily be hacked & 2) provide no hard copy backup for recounting or checking.
    While I am working to have a paperless office, this is the time when hard copy really has value.

    Here in New Hampshire, at least in my town, we have paper ballots and scanners. The paper ballots can always be rescanned or read by eye. That really is the way it should be done.

  21. #21
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    Default Re: Ohio Special Election Results

    Quote Originally Posted by CWSmith View Post
    While I am working to have a paperless office, this is the time when hard copy really has value.

    Here in New Hampshire, at least in my town, we have paper ballots and scanners. The paper ballots can always be rescanned or read by eye. That really is the way it should be done.
    Vermont uses the same system. Computer based voting machines were banned early on.
    "If it ain't broke, you're not trying." - Red Green

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