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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    You need a break from the forum.

    As for myself, this is my last post on the forum until September 1st. I will not open the forum until September 1st.
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    We don't need new. The answer to post no. 1 was well presented within the first two pages of the thread, as well as innumerable times in the following 24 pages. One presentation was less than 20...
  3. Re: DOJ is pressuring the Jan 6 committee for documents

    False equivalence. Give it some thought. You aren't a caller to talk radio.
  4. Re: DOJ is pressuring the Jan 6 committee for documents

    No, you are wrong. She was climbing to enter the chamber. Watch the videos and come back to say that you were incorrect.
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    It's a bell curve, dammit!
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    You folks are messing up my nice graph showing a bell curve.
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    Heh, you might also consider that everyone here understood what they were repeating.
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    Maybe there is some contrition on the horizon?
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    It's not looking good to hit 1000 posts.




    https://photos.smugmug.com/Stuff/i-TfgphZM/0/11d806ff/L/Graph_500-L.jpg
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    OK, sorry, I read your post as an argument for not switching.
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    Re: Can someone explain the hatred of goats?

    Not really, on two counts.
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    Re: Can someone explain the hatred of goats?

    Explain to you?
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    Poll: Re: a poll . . . about a thread

    We are on the downside of the bell curve:


    https://photos.smugmug.com/Stuff/i-rvKshtq/0/23f9e07c/M/graph-M.jpg
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    Re: Oregon Kid Coaches Celtics to NBA Finals

    Bump.
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    Looks like someone picked door no. 3
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    You, good sir, are a Plessian rapscallion.
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    Never kid a kidder, as my mom would say when we were young, you are just trying to push the post count past 1000. It won't happen, probability speaking.
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    Poll: Re: a poll . . . about a thread

    The fifth most replied to thread was Scientific Knowledge. With 1226 posts by Frank! and 1213 posts by Peerie Ma. That thread covered new ground and was never boring.
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    Poll: Re: a poll . . . about a thread

    No, we are on the downside of the bell curve of posts per day. It will dwindle to nothing tomorrow. The Monty pandemic is over.
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    Poll: Re: a poll . . . about a thread

    It was winding down, but reinforcements are arriving in support of the now bored 'Hi, my name is Frank!' veterans.
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    Sorry, if you read the thread then you will see that you are wrong. Out of 50 doors your door choice has a 1/50 chance of having the car. After Monty opens 48 doors to reveal goats, leaving two...
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    Any skeptic who could coast past post 754 without unrestrained contrition has to be a lost cause.
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    He wouldn't accept this arrangement in a million years, it would be so obvious that the odds were not in his favor, let alone 50:50, and he would be fleeced, yet here we are, barreling toward 1000...
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    Heh. Beautiful.

    But, but, but...
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    Re: What a De-Cluttered House Looks Like

    Paint and wood stain hide all manner of sins.
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    Christandaboxofbiscuits.

    If I had a dollar for every time on this thread that the solution to the Monty Hall Problem was spoon fed to you, I could have a nice night on the town in any city in the...
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    Re: What a De-Cluttered House Looks Like

    Rent a ten-by-ten storage unit, and fill it with boxes of stuff. That way your house is de-cluttered in one fell swoop. Then, give yourself a deadline to sort through the cluttered storage unit,...
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    Re: What a De-Cluttered House Looks Like

    Many times things have meaning when accumulated, but that importance wanes with time.

    I have boxes of inherited stuff, which have value, but not so much to me. The boxes are in garage purgatory,...
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    Re: What a De-Cluttered House Looks Like

    I am already there. About 5 minutes drive from The Little House that Sold.

    (I know, not very exciting, not like saying, 'We are leaving for Jupiter in a matter of hours in an after-market modified...
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    Re: Yellowstone is closed.

    Tom Minor bridge washing out, Yellowstone:



    https://youtu.be/REAIicH5pX4
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    Re: What a De-Cluttered House Looks Like

    Under contract. Whew.
  32. Replies
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    Give it some thought.

    I'm out.
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    Post 619. Quite elegant.
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    Nick and CW believe that the second question by the host is a 50:50 proposition, but they appear to believe it for different reasons. Nick can't understand that a 1/3 probability of a correct guess...
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    Re: Yellowstone is closed.

    https://youtu.be/sWlj1Zma3zQ
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    Re: Yellowstone is closed.

    That's wild. Five spots where the highway is wiped out.

    Northeast of Yellowstone Park, the town of Red Lodge is flooded, without water, electric, or septic.

    The Gallatin river, near Bozeman, is...
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    Very nice, a less than twenty word proof.
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    Yes, that is the way science is done, one has to be their own harsh critique.
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    The puzzle was solved on page one. The new puzzle is how to get two posters to understand it. It is a vexing puzzle and appears to be unsolvable.
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    But, his argument isn't fallacious. It is the argument that is almost universally accepted by the global community. Moreover, it shows why your whiteboard post is fallacious, because it does not take...
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    Poll: Re: a poll . . . about a thread

    Of course not, forum jesters don't participate on such threads.
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    Yes, but I responded to your request, directed to me.

    And that was my request, directed to you.

    If you wish to pull rank on me, how so?
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    No, let's not expose Lee and Paul in goat form.
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    Re: Oregon Kid Coaches Celtics to NBA Finals

    Boston now needs to win two in a row.
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    Re: Photo a Day 365 X 12/2022.

    Relevant re above, but not mine, from my Pinterest feed, a photo taken in the Skeleton Coast, Namibia:


    https://i.pinimg.com/564x/ca/b9/46/cab946f1bd0fec7911cd0f2ddec576a1.jpg
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    I was responding to a request by you...to me.

    You asked me to comment on your table.

    I responded.

    And then I had a request for you.

    Why not respond in kind?
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    Regarding your table in post 24:

    Parenthetically, for simplicity you only need to show the possibilities for 'Contestant picks Door no. 1'

    For that scenario, if the car is behind door no. 1,...
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    Yes.

    Stated another way: What if Monty offered you his two doors before he shows you which one has the goat?

    Of course you would take him up on his offer, despite knowing that one door HAS to...
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    https://cafehayek.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/03/miracle_cartoon.jpg
  50. Re: Now I understand why there is so much acrimony in the bilge!

    And thank you to all the laboratory pigeons who participated in the proof.
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