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Type: Posts; User: twodot

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  1. Replies
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    You need a break from the forum.

    As for myself, this is my last post on the forum until September 1st. I will not open the forum until September 1st.
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    We don't need new. The answer to post no. 1 was well presented within the first two pages of the thread, as well as innumerable times in the following 24 pages. One presentation was less than 20...
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    It's a bell curve, dammit!
  4. Replies
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    Heh, you might also consider that everyone here understood what they were repeating.
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    Maybe there is some contrition on the horizon?
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    It's not looking good to hit 1000 posts.




    https://photos.smugmug.com/Stuff/i-TfgphZM/0/11d806ff/L/Graph_500-L.jpg
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    OK, sorry, I read your post as an argument for not switching.
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    Sorry, if you read the thread then you will see that you are wrong. Out of 50 doors your door choice has a 1/50 chance of having the car. After Monty opens 48 doors to reveal goats, leaving two...
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    Christandaboxofbiscuits.

    If I had a dollar for every time on this thread that the solution to the Monty Hall Problem was spoon fed to you, I could have a nice night on the town in any city in the...
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    Post 619. Quite elegant.
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    Very nice, a less than twenty word proof.
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    The puzzle was solved on page one. The new puzzle is how to get two posters to understand it. It is a vexing puzzle and appears to be unsolvable.
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    Yes, but I responded to your request, directed to me.

    And that was my request, directed to you.

    If you wish to pull rank on me, how so?
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    I was responding to a request by you...to me.

    You asked me to comment on your table.

    I responded.

    And then I had a request for you.

    Why not respond in kind?
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    Regarding your table in post 24:

    Parenthetically, for simplicity you only need to show the possibilities for 'Contestant picks Door no. 1'

    For that scenario, if the car is behind door no. 1,...
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    The computer simulations are proof. Have you addressed why the computer simulations support switching?
  17. Replies
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    Have you also tried to prove yourself wrong?

    Or have you assumed all along that you are correct?
  18. Replies
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    See post 190, I don't need to understand probability theory. I distilled it down to its essence without it.
  19. Replies
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    Re: Do you know the correct answer?

    The game show host knows which one of the 100 doors has the car. He opens 98 doors, all goats, because he knows that they are goats. There is then a 99% probability that the last door that he didn't...
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    Re: Photo a Day 365 X 12/2022.

    https://photos.smugmug.com/Stuff/i-zskbBcf/0/2c973cf0/XL/Pooch-XL.jpg
  21. Thread: Doors

    by twodot
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    Re: Doors

    This past month I stripped down and varnished four doors in my almost 100 year old house.

    I posted a thread of photos in the Bilge:
    ...
  22. Thread: This old door

    by twodot
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    Re: This old door

    The door back in its usual place:


    https://photos.smugmug.com/Stuff/i-9WbWwTL/0/96f50e3b/L/Door_12-L.jpg


    https://photos.smugmug.com/Stuff/i-9zkLwMx/0/cd74f8b5/L/Door_15-L.jpg
  23. Thread: This old door

    by twodot
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    Re: This old door

    I am putting the house up for sale in two weeks. It all will soon be someone else's problem.
  24. Thread: This old door

    by twodot
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    Re: This old door

    Tomorrow I'll post some photos in situ, and of the other doors.
  25. Thread: This old door

    by twodot
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    Re: This old door

    The finished product after fine sanding, staining, and polyurethane.

    The inset panels don't look nice 'restored', and so I painted them butter yellow:

    ...
  26. Thread: This old door

    by twodot
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    Re: This old door

    Framed art:


    https://photos.smugmug.com/Stuff/i-Wt5hRQz/0/f21727c6/XL/Door_7-XL.jpg
  27. Thread: This old door

    by twodot
    Replies
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    This old door

    This past month I 'restored' four doors on my house, built in the mid 1920s.

    Following is the door leading to the back mudroom area.

    There are, by my count, five coats of paint, probably dating...
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    Re: Photo a Day 365 X 12/2022.

    Tonight's evening sunlight, from the window over the kitchen sink, on bowls from Japan. Digital color is great, you see some light, you capture it.

    ...
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    Re: Photo a Day 365 X 12/2022.

    Brief lapse into digital from my new year's resolution to shoot only film:


    https://photos.smugmug.com/Stuff/i-rtJG3bL/0/504cc917/X2/Ardyce_2022-X2.jpg

    ...
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    Re: How Democrats defeat themselves

    I might be obtuse too, because I don't understand this - because Ilhan Omar is a politician, and therefore her comments at a national level are political.
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    Re: How Democrats defeat themselves

    I think that some critics here are saying that her pretty mild statement/question worth pondering, elicited a full on explosion of white-male-christian fragility - and we should therefore also...
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    Re: Photo a Day 365 X 12/2022.

    https://photos.smugmug.com/Photos2022/i-9sZtc7c/0/d96b10d5/XL/Berries_5-XL.jpg


    https://photos.smugmug.com/Photos2022/i-J6Zm2Dv/0/8dba14e4/L/Berries_2-L.jpg




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    Re: Photo a Day 365 X 12/2022.

    https://photos.smugmug.com/Photos2022/i-xqmr7SH/0/b134b280/L/Train_4-L.jpg
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    Re: Photo a Day 365 X 12/2022.

    https://photos.smugmug.com/Photos2022/i-XZTvq3L/0/30ea0137/L/PhezRez-L.jpg
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    Re: Photo a Day 365 X 12/2022.

    Little Pink


    https://photos.smugmug.com/Photos2022/i-fmBwKTT/0/e1032116/L/Pink%20House_3-L.jpg
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    Re: Photo a Day 365 X 12/2022.

    Thank you. I downloaded VueScan and Photoshop and am back in pink. So far I like VueScan better than Silverfast, which I was using before.

    ...
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    Re: Photo a Day 365 X 12/2022.

    Well, I dropped off two rolls of film at a shop in Seattle. It took three weeks to get the negatives here in Missoula. Meanwhile, my very nice MacBook Pro, slippery than the devil, slip off my lap...
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    Re: Photo a Day 365 X 12/2022.

    Doorknob of the Day.

    Circa 1979, to show that my photography aesthetic has not evolved in 40 years:


    https://photos.smugmug.com/Photos2022/i-c2rLfNn/0/fd898198/L/Doorknob_1978-L.jpg

    ...
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    Re: Photo a Day 365 X 12/2022.

    Oh that is nice. That quality in the color always reminds me of my grade school social studies/geography textbooks.
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    Re: Photo a Day 365 X 12/2022.

    My housemate is an artist. She created the stunning ice and snow art in post #233.

    Here she is at work with her preferred medium, snow on ice:

    ...
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    Re: Photo a Day 365 X 12/2022.

    https://photos.smugmug.com/Photos2022/i-Vxvpwcb/0/db508f4e/L/2020_BW_8-L.jpg


    https://photos.smugmug.com/Photos2022/i-pd6mkRF/0/9b725bb8/L/2020_BW_7-L.jpg
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    Re: Photo a Day 365 X 12/2022.

    Yeah, 18mm, 35mm, and 70mm prime lenses. The above photos were all with the 35mm lens.

    I love f2 and get teased here for having a bokeh fetish, but the above were all landscapes and higher f...
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    Re: Photo a Day 365 X 12/2022.

    https://photos.smugmug.com/Photos2022/i-MJKfWF2/0/18f96361/L/2020_BW_2-L.jpg


    https://photos.smugmug.com/Photos2022/i-WD7Sqrr/0/8d203941/L/2022_BW_3aa-L.jpg
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    Re: Photo a Day 365 X 12/2022.

    Leica M7 camera. Summicron 35mm lens. I bought the camera off ebay about 18 years ago. I took my Triumph motorbike up from Manhattan to Scarsdale to pick it up. Started raining on the way back and I...
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    Re: Photo a Day 365 X 12/2022.

    https://photos.smugmug.com/Photos2022/i-29bjnqX/0/6cb99eb2/L/2020_BW_6-L.jpg


    https://photos.smugmug.com/Photos2022/i-pL9rcNP/0/a2b9fbdf/L/2020_BW_5-L.jpg



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    Re: Photo a Day 365 X 12/2022.

    https://photos.smugmug.com/Photos2022/i-PZrbXnF/0/8579d089/L/2022_BW_4-L.jpg


    The mountain on the far right is the mountain on the left in J P's recent photo.



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    Re: Photo a Day 365 X 12/2022.

    https://photos.smugmug.com/Photos2022/i-k3vJRht/0/46e33b17/L/2022_BW_1-L.jpg


    https://photos.smugmug.com/Photos2022/i-fmXkpKX/0/2d775a3f/L/2020_BW_4-L.jpg



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