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View Full Version : Interesting, and at time eccentric, economic model.....



neal debonte
04-20-2009, 10:10 AM
This is a long and off the wall read, but I found it intersting and thought I would post..... I find some of this modeling theory interesting, though at times a little in the Nostradamous vein, but this article is really all over the place. If your day is slow... again, its long and crazy, so be forewarned.

standard disclaimer applies: motivation is soley to relay an interesting read- any i hate republicans democrats are the worst guns kill you can take my gun from cold dead hand there is no God God saves all oil under varnish is insane i would never varnish without sealing is purely the intent of the original author.

http://www.contrahour.com/contrahour/

bruceS
04-20-2009, 10:16 AM
All of Martin Armstrongs's writings are well worth reading. Yes they are all over the place, and contain repetitive information, but bear in mind that he's in jail, and only has access to a typewriter. His accuracy has been uncanny over the years. His charts and images are "cut and paste", literally! http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Martin_A._Armstrong

Kaa
04-20-2009, 10:19 AM
The guy is silly, incoherent, rambling, and paranoid.

Kaa

neal debonte
04-20-2009, 10:25 AM
All of Martin Armstrongs's writings are well worth reading.

agreed, and..

The guy is silly, incoherent, rambling, and paranoid.

agreed.

Like I said, I find it interesting that such ramblings have produced some accurate predictions. Though just when the article gets rolling, we get pulled into the talking computer discussion.

Well, the model calls for major upheaval today or tomorrow:eek:

Enjoy the volatility...

bruceS
04-20-2009, 10:33 AM
Easy to ridicule when you don't understand something. Barclay Leib, a former employee of Martin Armstrong, wrote an article for my site almost 8 years ago: Measuring Financial Time: The Magic of Pi http://www.safehaven.com/showarticle.cfm?id=248

You might learn something about the 8.6 year cycle including Barclay's projection to September 2008. Remember, this cycle is not necessarily a stock market forecasting tool, it's an economic model.

Kaa
04-20-2009, 10:44 AM
Easy to ridicule when you don't understand something.

People with home-grown market forecasting theories, especially technical ones, are a dime a dozen.

Strangely enough, they tend to make words, not money :D


You might learn something about the 8.6 year cycle including Barclay's projection to September 2008. Remember, this cycle is not necessarily a stock market forecasting tool, it's an economic model.

So, is Barclay Leib obscenely rich through his investments? If not, why not?

Kaa

bruceS
04-20-2009, 10:56 AM
I don't know Barclay's personal information, but what I do know is that technical analysis is more accurate than any other kind of analysis. Suggest you read Prechter's book on Socionomics: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Socionomics

Kaa
04-20-2009, 11:05 AM
I don't know Barclay's personal information, but what I do know is that technical analysis is more accurate than any other kind of analysis.

That's a very strong claim. Any other kind of analysis, really?

But then, of course, "technical analysis" is just a general name for a large and heterogeneous body of techniques. They certainly do not agree with each other all the time. Specifically which technique is more accurate than any other kind? And, I guess, other technical analysis techniques are not as accurate? :D


Suggest you read Prechter's book on Socionomics: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Socionomics

Um, why? I've never seen any evidence that Elliott wave consistently produces superior results.

Kaa

bruceS
04-20-2009, 11:21 AM
I never mentioned Elliott Wave -- you have jumped to a conclusion -- Socionomics is NOT Elliott Wave Theory! Enough said by me as we're about to start going around in a circle!

Kaa
04-20-2009, 11:37 AM
I never mentioned Elliott Wave -- you have jumped to a conclusion -- Socionomics is NOT Elliott Wave Theory!

Well, all his life Prechter was the biggest proponent of the Ellitott Wave. Are you saying he abandoned it?

Kaa