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Meerkat
07-08-2005, 03:12 PM
The hurricane center's lead forecaster, Martin Nelson, said it was the first time the Atlantic hurricane season had four named storms this early since record-keeping began in 1851. The season runs from June 1 to Nov. 30. I know hurricanes recurve: I wonder if it's possible for a hurricane to recurve and travel west to east over the Florida peninsula? :eek:

August - October could be reeeeealy interesting! :eek:

Bruce Hooke
07-08-2005, 04:12 PM
Originally posted by Meerkat:
I know hurricanes recurve: I wonder if it's possible for a hurricane to recurve and travel west to east over the Florida peninsula?Does this answer your question?
I'm sure the folks down in Florida won't need this map to remember Hurricane Charley last year...

http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/images/at200403.gif

Bruce Hooke
07-08-2005, 04:14 PM
I'll offer up a prayer for everyone on the track of Dennis...

Meerkat
07-08-2005, 04:17 PM
Dennis could be a replay of Charlie! :eek:

Bruce Hooke
07-08-2005, 04:54 PM
Anything could happen in theory, but at the moment the models seem pretty consistent in predicting a landfall further west, near where Ivan came ashore last year...

http://maps.wunderground.com/data/images/at200504_model.gif

Ross M
07-08-2005, 05:41 PM
In the "Discussion" section of the NHC pages frequent mention is made of "the turn at the sub-tropic ridge".

From what I can gather, this is a knee in the curve; a point where the hurricane can switch direction.

Ross

Ross M
07-08-2005, 05:52 PM
An example from yesterday's 5:00PM Discussion:

"THE MOTION CONTINUES TOWARD THE NORTHWEST...310/13. THIS MOTION
SHOULD TAKE THE CENTER OF THIS DANGEROUS HURRICANE OVER CENTRAL
CUBA WITHIN 24 HOURS. DENNIS IS THEN EXPECTED TO MOVE AROUND THE
WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. ALTHOUGH THIS SOUNDS
SIMPLE ENOUGH...THE DETAILS OF THE TURN AROUND THE RIDGE ARE
IMPORTANT FOR RESIDENTS OF FLORIDA."