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Daniel Noyes
03-01-2018, 09:10 PM
Marine Forecast for the next few days...

Seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.

Massachusetts Bay And Ipswich Bay-
Tonight

NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 40 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 7 ft. A chance of rain this evening, then rain after midnight. Patchy fog after midnight. Vsby 1 to 3 nm, decreasing to 1 nm or less after midnight.


Fri

NE winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 50 kt, increasing to 35 to 45 kt with gusts up to 65 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16 to 21 ft. Patchy fog. Rain. Vsby 1 nm or less.


Fri Night

N winds 35 to 45 kt. Gusts up to 65 kt, decreasing to 55 kt after midnight. Seas 21 to 26 ft. Patchy fog. Rain. Vsby 1 nm or less.


Sat

N winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 50 kt. Seas 17 to 22 ft. A chance of rain.


Sat Night

N winds 25 to 30 kt, diminishing to 20 to 25 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 12 to 17 ft.


Sun

N winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 10 to 15 ft.


https://img0.etsystatic.com/120/0/11952460/il_570xN.1039515158_8yvz.jpg

Rich Jones
03-01-2018, 09:22 PM
You pull your boat out of the water?

Daniel Noyes
03-01-2018, 09:28 PM
In the barn, waiting for a coat of oil on the deck.

Phil Y
03-01-2018, 09:40 PM
Best stay home.

Daniel Noyes
03-01-2018, 10:01 PM
Best stay home.

These are my sailing grounds, sobering to consider.

I'm actually hoping to take a ride out to Hallibut Point on a long lunch tomorrow, seen on the map above as the North-Eastern most point on cape Anne above... I doubt Ill get a glimpse of any 50' ers but should be quite a show anyway.

Halibut Point from the water this past September.
https://scontent.fbed1-1.fna.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/23795279_10155882439666703_1845507939602359700_n.j pg?oh=56ef40d4650bfd6a849040650b06ce20&oe=5AD58472

elf
03-01-2018, 10:13 PM
Guess I'll go look at Ballston Beach in Truro tomorrow. Oughta be quite a show.

https://scontent.fbos1-1.fna.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/21768479_10155865468504917_4562085737462752834_n.j pg?oh=08238f2e4d9e511170a8590e02101bae&oe=5B07D352

It has been the last few times we've had those winds, that tide and that direction.

Vince Brennan
03-01-2018, 10:40 PM
Hey, Daniel, while I detest your political opinions, don't get dead on us, OK? Let the other guys go test the "big ones".

Get dead and I'll never ignore you again.

Puttputt
03-01-2018, 10:45 PM
Hi Daniel,
I noticed that even with extremely strong winds forecast on Friday night along with very high seas there’s a call for patchy fog. Is that unusual for your area?

paul

Daniel Noyes
03-01-2018, 10:52 PM
Hey, Daniel, while I detest your political opinions, don't get dead on us, OK? Let the other guys go test the "big ones".

Get dead and I'll never ignore you again.


oh... by a "ride out to Halibut Point"... I mean by car... on the road :D

Daniel Noyes
03-01-2018, 10:54 PM
Guess I'll go look at Ballston Beach in Truro tomorrow. Oughta be quite a show.

https://scontent.fbos1-1.fna.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/21768479_10155865468504917_4562085737462752834_n.j pg?oh=08238f2e4d9e511170a8590e02101bae&oe=5B07D352

It has been the last few times we've had those winds, that tide and that direction.

wow.


news trucks are already camped out on Plumb Island...
http://cache3.asset-cache.net/gc/163429117-an-aerial-view-of-the-plum-island-waterfront-gettyimages.jpg?v=1&c=IWSAsset&k=2&d=GkZZ8bf5zL1ZiijUmxa7QZieYqgLzZK%2f64FrDW6SP0dTeg DFFW2nJ4ZQx5fGLzBFPWrEOkEYoSJFp11J%2b9wv7Q%3d%3d

Daniel Noyes
03-01-2018, 10:58 PM
Hi Daniel,
I noticed that even with extremely strong winds forecast on Friday night along with very high seas there’s a call for patchy fog. Is that unusual for your area?

paul

not usual but not uncommon to have wind and fog together, I have been out in 20+- mph of breeze in thick fog, with water pouring off the sails and rigging as they strain moisture out of the wind, it's no fun.

Art Haberland
03-01-2018, 11:13 PM
yuck... Be safe out there, Daniel. Even by car waves can be dangerous if you get yourself in a bad spot.

I think I will take a look out to sea tomorrow too.. from work, from the 32nd floor, it's safer up there.

elf
03-02-2018, 12:18 AM
I wouldn't expect much fog. Air and water temps are going to be within 10˚ of each other this time. At this time of year fog usually is a function of one of those substances being a lot warmer or colder than the other. On the upper Cape we've already had the spring venting.

Here was the railroad bridge a week ago.

https://scontent.fbos1-1.fna.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/28055818_10156283144109917_1759255334278743810_n.j pg?oh=5b6f2dc378bb8e009aa8ba4ce57d4b2a&oe=5B154203

The entire canal was a trough filled up with fog. It was actually beautiful, but quite strange.

Here's a fishing boat trying to make headway against the current in the fog:

https://scontent.fbos1-1.fna.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/28377837_10156283144224917_6572335864131795802_n.j pg?oh=a420fa6a69501e78eebe95c88a54976a&oe=5AFFF687

Ian McColgin
03-02-2018, 03:51 AM
Looks like the start of really strong winds on Cape Cod are about six hours later than I thought yesterday, which means the higher winds will be kicking in about 1800, nearer low tide. Yesterday it was forcast to get violent more like 1200, right on top of Chatham's high tide.

I plan to get down there, if only to see North Beach Island get overtopped.

Anyway, I got up about 0300 to see why it was not raining and blowing yet. Time to lay back down.

PeterSibley
03-02-2018, 04:05 AM
Have people seen this, it's fascinating ! https://www.windy.com/?40.212,-73.081,5

Rich Jones
03-02-2018, 05:09 AM
When living on Long Island, N.Y., I used to go down to the beach during bad storms just to watch the surf, thankful that I was in my truck and not my boat!

oldcodger
03-02-2018, 09:13 AM
Have people seen this, it's fascinating ! https://www.windy.com/?40.212,-73.081,5

Many thanks Peter.
I liked the way you can change the altitude.

Ian McColgin
03-02-2018, 04:04 PM
The wind was just getting up to a northeast Strong Gale (Force 9, 41047 knots) with the noon high when I took this pic. Marmalade and Meg are well sheltered, as you can see from the pic taken from almost exactly upwind. That pier runs out to the west. The combination of spring high with a bit of storm surge brought the water up to the bottom of the planks out the pier. Tonight's midnight high will likely get the water six inches over the planking. I'll get out again for tomorrow's high.

https://scontent.fbed1-2.fna.fbcdn.net/v/t31.0-8/28618943_1999833883378930_5777987999444233570_o.jp g?oh=e3fd26eaafc7f4211101d7d756a256d4&oe=5B0D1EE0

elf
03-02-2018, 10:04 PM
https://scontent.fbos1-1.fna.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/28468029_10156309862219917_6562489950483758024_n.j pg?oh=787d955263d63ade3202ce11a21ff7f5&oe=5B40BEBC

The breach is getting smoothed out, so the destruction is no longer so impressive.

But I can't get there tomorrow to see what is happening tonight.

https://scontent.fbos1-1.fna.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/28379455_10156309850324917_8417081756038368305_n.j pg?oh=b97be24fcd8313a81751f879ea431f15&oe=5B41A807

Looking at the breach in a new way - through my windshield which is covered with sandy rain.

Both photos taken with iPhone 6S Plus.

Daniel Noyes
03-03-2018, 11:25 AM
see if this works...
https://www.facebook.com/dansdories/videos/10156168119586703/

elf
03-03-2018, 12:40 PM
https://vimeo.com/258415820

Made a little vid of Lower Cape storm. Check it out.

elf
03-03-2018, 12:50 PM
see if this works...
https://www.facebook.com/dansdories/videos/10156168119586703/
I can't see it. Fix your privacy settings if you want more people to see it. For here, your privacy setting on the vid has to be Public.

Paul Pless
03-03-2018, 12:53 PM
what a ridiculous place to build a house
wow.


news trucks are already camped out on Plumb Island...
http://cache3.asset-cache.net/gc/163429117-an-aerial-view-of-the-plum-island-waterfront-gettyimages.jpg?v=1&c=IWSAsset&k=2&d=GkZZ8bf5zL1ZiijUmxa7QZieYqgLzZK%2f64FrDW6SP0dTeg DFFW2nJ4ZQx5fGLzBFPWrEOkEYoSJFp11J%2b9wv7Q%3d%3d

Daniel Noyes
03-03-2018, 12:54 PM
yeah, I think I need to load it to You Tube rather than FB...

Daniel Noyes
03-03-2018, 12:56 PM
what a ridiculous place to build a house

But it looked so pretty on the August afternoon that they were shown the house!

the problem is, more money than brains.



not to mention when the eletricity goes out... and with it the pumps that pull vaccume for the newly installed multi million dollar sewage system just installed on the island! :D

elf
03-03-2018, 01:15 PM
The entire east coast is like that. Check your map.

Also, when many of those houses were built, they had front lawns and the ocean beyond.

The idiotic part is the Federal flood insurance guarantee. Those particular houses should have been taken down after the Blizzards of '78.

Also, despite that Daniel lives up there on the North Shore, his illiteracy still shows.

It's _Plum_ Island.

Daniel Noyes
03-03-2018, 01:17 PM
Farnham's Fried Clams in Essex.

https://scontent.fbed1-2.fna.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/28467814_10156170981761703_6012660024876911241_n.j pg?oh=37c6e20e1d8bde050c8db6204dda67a2&oe=5B3D4A63

Daniel Noyes
03-03-2018, 01:22 PM
The entire east coast is like that. Check your map.

Also, when many of those houses were built, they had front lawns and the ocean beyond.

The idiotic part is the Federal flood insurance guarantee. Those particular houses should have been taken down after the Blizzards of '78.

Also, despite that Daniel lives up there on the North Shore, his illiteracy still shows.

It's _Plum_ Island.

since their Richy-Rich Sewage woes' I've taken to calling it "Plumb" Island :D...

Paul Pless
03-03-2018, 01:22 PM
the problem is, more money than brains.the problem is the federal flood insurance program

eta: cross post with emily

Daniel Noyes
03-03-2018, 01:33 PM
the problem is the federal flood insurance program

eta: cross post with emily
The Island is packed to the gills with extreme Left leaning Liberals out there, they think it's Key West north or something, each one has bought a tiny old beach shack torn it down, built up 2-3 stories, then the house behind it builds higher!

these are the same folks that a buddy of mine paints for, they are all fired up, screaming bloody murder over having to pay a living wage to him and his legal workers... because Trumpy has scared of their illegal landscapers and painters. :D

Breakaway
03-03-2018, 02:48 PM
the problem is the federal flood insurance program

eta: cross post with emily



Partly. The people who can afford oceanfront can afford it, and they trade these houses among themselves, not mere mortals. These are second and third homes, remember. The FFI is just a bonus. They would build there anyway cuz they can.

Kevin






Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro

Daniel Noyes
03-03-2018, 08:57 PM
Ok trying this again... Folly Cove with the storm surge coming in hard.

or maybe you guys can see it here on Face book...?

https://www.facebook.com/groups/104933556820/

Daniel Noyes
03-04-2018, 08:35 PM
from Wade "That's why it was named Folly Cove,"

so true.

elf
03-04-2018, 11:15 PM
Ok trying this again... Folly Cove with the storm surge coming in hard.

or maybe you guys can see it here on Face book...?

https://www.facebook.com/groups/104933556820/

After digging into a posting I get the message "Attachment unavailable". Dan, your unwillingness to follow simple instructions is still evident.

If you don't make the post Public, only the people you have authorized on Facebook can see it.

Make it public, or we'll all really understand why you present yourself as an idiot.

Daniel Noyes
03-07-2018, 09:58 PM
and again this Wed-Thurs... little less wind this time :D

Massachusetts Bay And Ipswich Bay-
TonightNE winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 45 kt. Seas 14 to 19 ft. Rain. Snow after midnight. Vsby 1 to 3 nm, decreasing to 1 nm or less after midnight.
ThuN winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt, becoming NW 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 to 16 ft. A chance of snow. Vsby 1 nm or less.

Ian McColgin
03-08-2018, 08:05 AM
Keep hoping that everything that can come down already has.

Daniel Noyes
03-13-2018, 09:45 AM
Forecast as of 10:09 am EDT on March 13, 2018
Storm Warning in effect until 8 PM EDT this evening

Massachusetts Bay And Ipswich Bay-
This AfternoonN winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 55 kt. Seas 16 to 21 ft. Snow. Vsby 1 nm or less.
TonightNW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 40 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 14 to 19 ft. Snow. Vsby 1 nm or less.
WedSW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft.
Wed NightW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A chance of snow showers.

Art Haberland
03-13-2018, 01:43 PM
I hope there is nobody out there in this mess

mmd
03-13-2018, 02:41 PM
This little beastie (M/V Adratic Highway, car carrier, 656 ft LOA, 58990 GT) was reported to be about 60 NM due west of me in the Gulf of Maine earlier today, doing 2.9 kts WSW. As her destination is Halifax, I presume it was jogging to wait for more suitable winds before proceeding.

http://www.shipspotting.com/photos/middle/7/8/2/1014287.jpg

Five minutes ago, the M/V Hoegh Bangkok (656 ft. LOA, 55775 GT), another car carrier, was reported to be about 50 NM due west of me, making 8.3 kts WSW heading for Davisville in the USA.

http://photos.marinetraffic.com/ais/showphoto.aspx?photoid=2959208

Due south of me winds are just under hurricane force at NNE 54 kts. I like being at sea, and don't mind being there in heavy weather, but I am really glad that I am not out in those winds on either of those ships.

Breakaway
03-13-2018, 03:13 PM
Power's out here; lots of trees down with heavy wet snow and high wind from this morning. Wind and snow stopped about 2 pm.

Kevin